Match Analysis

SunderlandvsDinamo Zagreb

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
19%
5%
Sunderland winDrawDinamo Zagreb win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.20
1.62Avg goals scored0.62
0.62Avg goals conceded0.00
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

0.3

Dinamo Zagreb xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

21%

2–0

20%

3–0

13%

0–0

11%

1–1

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

LWLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 0.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Sunderland is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win76%
Draw19%
Dinamo Zagreb Win5%
BTTS22%
Over 2.538%