Sparta Praguevs
AZ Alkmaar
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Sparta Prague xG
Expected goals
0.9
AZ Alkmaar xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
1–1
11%
2–0
11%
2–1
10%
0–0
7%
3–0
7%
Home
Sparta Prague
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
AZ Alkmaar
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar?
Sparta Prague is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sparta Prague's current form?
Sparta Prague have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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