Match Analysis

SK Sturm GrazvsMarseille

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

81%
14%
5%
SK Sturm Graz winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
0.00Avg goals scored0.39
1.86Avg goals conceded2.16
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

SK Sturm Graz xG

Expected goals

0.5

Marseille xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

16%

3–0

13%

1–0

12%

2–1

8%

4–0

8%

1–1

6%

Home

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SK Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

SK Sturm Graz is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SK Sturm Graz's current form?

SK Sturm Graz have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SK Sturm Graz Win81%
Draw14%
Marseille Win5%
BTTS36%
Over 2.558%