Match Analysis

RB SalzburgvsSparta Prague

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
5%
92%
RB Salzburg winDrawSparta Prague win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
0.39Avg goals scored2.14
2.46Avg goals conceded1.00
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

RB Salzburg xG

Expected goals

3.7

Sparta Prague xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

15%

0–4

14%

0–2

13%

0–5

11%

0–1

7%

1–3

5%

Home

RB Salzburg

RB Salzburg

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Salzburg vs Sparta Prague?

Sparta Prague is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Salzburg's current form?

RB Salzburg have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Salzburg Win3%
Draw5%
Sparta Prague Win92%
BTTS25%
Over 2.576%