Match Analysis

RB SalzburgvsAC Milan

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
3%
94%
RB Salzburg winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
0.39Avg goals scored2.47
2.46Avg goals conceded0.76
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

RB Salzburg xG

Expected goals

4

AC Milan xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

14%

0–4

14%

0–5

12%

0–2

11%

0–1

5%

1–3

4%

Home

RB Salzburg

RB Salzburg

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

WDWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Salzburg vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Salzburg's current form?

RB Salzburg have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Salzburg Win3%
Draw3%
AC Milan Win94%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%