Match Analysis

NEC NijmegenvsLevski Sofia

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
31%
51%
NEC Nijmegen winDrawLevski Sofia win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.40
0.00Avg goals scored0.00
5.00Avg goals conceded1.00
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

NEC Nijmegen xG

Expected goals

1.2

Levski Sofia xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

20%

0–0

17%

0–2

12%

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

1–2

7%

Home

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia

LLDWW

PPG

1.40

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

Levski Sofia is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is NEC Nijmegen's current form?

NEC Nijmegen have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

PPG fallback model · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

NEC Nijmegen Win18%
Draw31%
Levski Sofia Win51%
BTTS32%
Over 2.527%