Match Analysis

MarseillevsOlympiacos

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
7%
89%
Marseille winDrawOlympiacos win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored2.00
4.00Avg goals conceded1.00
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Marseille xG

Expected goals

4

Olympiacos xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

8%

0–4

8%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–2

6%

0–5

6%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 4.0

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Olympiacos

Olympiacos

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Olympiacos?

Olympiacos is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win4%
Draw7%
Olympiacos Win89%
BTTS58%
Over 2.587%