Match Analysis

LyonvsLillestrom

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

87%
8%
5%
Lyon winDrawLillestrom win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
2.00Avg goals scored1.00
1.00Avg goals conceded2.00
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.5

Lyon xG

Expected goals

0.8

Lillestrom xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

10%

2–0

8%

3–1

8%

4–0

8%

2–1

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Lillestrom?

Lyon is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win87%
Draw8%
Lillestrom Win5%
BTTS53%
Over 2.580%