Match Analysis

LillestromvsReal Sociedad

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
30%
31%
Lillestrom winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored1.00
1.39Avg goals conceded1.39
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Lillestrom xG

Expected goals

1

Real Sociedad xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–1

12%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?

Lillestrom is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lillestrom's current form?

Lillestrom have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lillestrom Win39%
Draw30%
Real Sociedad Win31%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%