Match Analysis

Levski SofiavsJagiellonia Bialystok

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
25%
59%
Levski Sofia winDrawJagiellonia Bialystok win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.61Avg goals scored2.24
1.00Avg goals conceded1.38
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Levski Sofia xG

Expected goals

1.6

Jagiellonia Bialystok xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

16%

0–2

13%

1–1

11%

0–0

10%

1–2

9%

0–3

7%

Home

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Jagiellonia Bialystok is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Levski Sofia's current form?

Levski Sofia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Levski Sofia Win16%
Draw25%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Win59%
BTTS40%
Over 2.540%