Match Analysis

Lech PoznanvsSunderland

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
6%
91%
Lech Poznan winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
0.00Avg goals scored1.62
4.00Avg goals conceded0.62
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Lech Poznan xG

Expected goals

4

Sunderland xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

10%

0–4

10%

0–5

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

Home

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?

Sunderland is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lech Poznan's current form?

Lech Poznan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lech Poznan Win3%
Draw6%
Sunderland Win91%
BTTS49%
Over 2.585%