Match Analysis

CelticvsMarseille

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
24%
21%
Celtic winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.80
1.00Avg goals scored0.39
3.61Avg goals conceded2.16
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Celtic xG

Expected goals

1

Marseille xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Celtic

Celtic

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celtic vs Marseille?

Celtic is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celtic's current form?

Celtic have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celtic Win55%
Draw24%
Marseille Win21%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%