Match Analysis

CelticvsFerencvaros

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
7%
90%
Celtic winDrawFerencvaros win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.20
1.00Avg goals scored2.39
3.61Avg goals conceded1.00
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Celtic xG

Expected goals

4

Ferencvaros xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

9%

0–4

9%

0–2

7%

0–5

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

Home

Celtic

Celtic

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celtic vs Ferencvaros?

Ferencvaros is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celtic's current form?

Celtic have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celtic Win3%
Draw7%
Ferencvaros Win90%
BTTS54%
Over 2.586%