Match Analysis

Celta VigovsUnion St.-Gilloise

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
17%
78%
Celta Vigo winDrawUnion St.-Gilloise win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.20
0.62Avg goals scored1.77
1.62Avg goals conceded0.61
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

2

Union St.-Gilloise xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

20%

0–2

20%

0–3

13%

0–0

10%

0–4

7%

1–1

6%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win5%
Draw17%
Union St.-Gilloise Win78%
BTTS22%
Over 2.540%