Match Analysis

Celta VigovsAFC Bournemouth

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
8%
89%
Celta Vigo winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
0.62Avg goals scored2.61
1.62Avg goals conceded0.39
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

3

AFC Bournemouth xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

17%

0–3

17%

0–4

12%

0–1

11%

0–5

7%

1–2

5%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs AFC Bournemouth?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win3%
Draw8%
AFC Bournemouth Win89%
BTTS25%
Over 2.564%