Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Benfica xG
Expected goals
0.6
Lech Poznan xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
11%
4–0
11%
5–0
9%
2–0
8%
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
Home
Benfica
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.2 / 0.6
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lech Poznan
PPG
1.60
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
Benfica is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Benfica's current form?
Benfica have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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