Match Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenvsMarseille

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
8%
4%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.20
2.00Avg goals scored1.00
0.00Avg goals conceded4.00
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

1

Marseille xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

5–0

6%

5–1

6%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 4.0

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win88%
Draw8%
Marseille Win4%
BTTS62%
Over 2.588%