Match Analysis

AZ AlkmaarvsSK Sturm Graz

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
23%
20%
AZ Alkmaar winDrawSK Sturm Graz win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.24Avg goals scored0.00
1.00Avg goals conceded1.86
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

AZ Alkmaar xG

Expected goals

1

SK Sturm Graz xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AZ Alkmaar vs SK Sturm Graz?

AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?

AZ Alkmaar have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AZ Alkmaar Win57%
Draw23%
SK Sturm Graz Win20%
BTTS53%
Over 2.553%