Match Analysis

AZ AlkmaarvsJuventus

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

9%
17%
74%
AZ Alkmaar winDrawJuventus win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.24Avg goals scored3.16
1.00Avg goals conceded0.61
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

AZ Alkmaar xG

Expected goals

2.2

Juventus xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

15%

0–1

13%

0–3

11%

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Juventus

Juventus

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

3.2 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?

Juventus is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?

AZ Alkmaar have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AZ Alkmaar Win9%
Draw17%
Juventus Win74%
BTTS40%
Over 2.553%