AZ Alkmaarvs
Dinamo Zagreb
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
AZ Alkmaar xG
Expected goals
0.4
Dinamo Zagreb xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
23%
0–0
17%
2–0
16%
1–1
9%
3–0
8%
0–1
7%
Home
AZ Alkmaar
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Dinamo Zagreb
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.6 / 0.0
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?
AZ Alkmaar have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (23% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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