Match Analysis

Ararat-ArmeniavsSparta Prague

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
7%
89%
Ararat-Armenia winDrawSparta Prague win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.00Avg goals scored4.00
4.00Avg goals conceded1.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Ararat-Armenia xG

Expected goals

4

Sparta Prague xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

8%

0–4

8%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–2

6%

0–5

6%

Home

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 4.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague

WLWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

4.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Prague?

Sparta Prague is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ararat-Armenia's current form?

Ararat-Armenia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ararat-Armenia Win4%
Draw7%
Sparta Prague Win89%
BTTS58%
Over 2.587%