Match Analysis

Ararat-ArmeniavsNEC Nijmegen

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
15%
42%
Ararat-Armenia winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.00Avg goals scored0.00
4.00Avg goals conceded5.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Ararat-Armenia xG

Expected goals

4

NEC Nijmegen xG

96%

Both Teams to Score

99%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–3

4%

3–4

4%

4–3

4%

4–4

4%

2–3

3%

2–4

3%

Home

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 4.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ararat-Armenia vs NEC Nijmegen?

Ararat-Armenia is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ararat-Armenia's current form?

Ararat-Armenia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–3 (4% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 96%. Over 2.5 goals: 99%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ararat-Armenia Win43%
Draw15%
NEC Nijmegen Win42%
BTTS96%
Over 2.599%