Ararat-Armeniavs
AZ Alkmaar
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Ararat-Armenia xG
Expected goals
2.9
AZ Alkmaar xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
10%
0–3
10%
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–1
7%
0–4
7%
Home
Ararat-Armenia
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
AZ Alkmaar
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Ararat-Armenia's current form?
Ararat-Armenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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