Match Analysis

AnderlechtvsSunderland

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
24%
69%
Anderlecht winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
0.38Avg goals scored1.62
1.38Avg goals conceded0.62
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Anderlecht xG

Expected goals

1.6

Sunderland xG

21%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

24%

0–2

19%

0–0

15%

0–3

10%

1–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Anderlecht

Anderlecht

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Anderlecht vs Sunderland?

Sunderland is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Anderlecht's current form?

Anderlecht have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (24% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 21%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Anderlecht Win7%
Draw24%
Sunderland Win69%
BTTS21%
Over 2.530%