Match Analysis

AC MilanvsFerencvaros

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

6%
8%
86%
AC Milan winDrawFerencvaros win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.60
0.00Avg goals scored3.00
2.00Avg goals conceded1.00
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

4

Ferencvaros xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

89%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–3

6%

0–4

6%

1–5

6%

0–5

5%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Ferencvaros?

Ferencvaros is favored with a 86% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win6%
Draw8%
Ferencvaros Win86%
BTTS69%
Over 2.589%