Match Analysis

US Virgin IslandsvsSt. Martin

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
6%
91%
US Virgin Islands winDrawSt. Martin win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
2.00Avg goals scored4.77
2.05Avg goals conceded0.47
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

US Virgin Islands xG

Expected goals

4

St. Martin xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

11%

0–4

11%

0–5

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

Home

US Virgin Islands

US Virgin Islands

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

St. Martin

St. Martin

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

4.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Us Virgin Islands vs St Martin?

St. Martin is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Us Virgin Islands's current form?

Us Virgin Islands have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

US Virgin Islands Win3%
Draw6%
St. Martin Win91%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%