US Virgin Islandsvs
Bahamas
CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
US Virgin Islands xG
Expected goals
0.9
Bahamas xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
8%
4–0
8%
3–1
7%
4–1
7%
2–0
6%
5–0
6%
Home
US Virgin Islands
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Bahamas
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.8 / 4.9
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win US Virgin Islands vs Bahamas?
US Virgin Islands is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is US Virgin Islands's current form?
US Virgin Islands have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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