Match Analysis

St. MartinvsUS Virgin Islands

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

92%
5%
3%
St. Martin winDrawUS Virgin Islands win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
4.77Avg goals scored2.00
0.47Avg goals conceded2.05
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

St. Martin xG

Expected goals

0.6

US Virgin Islands xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

11%

4–0

11%

5–0

9%

2–0

8%

3–1

6%

4–1

6%

Home

St. Martin

St. Martin

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

4.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

US Virgin Islands

US Virgin Islands

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win St Martin vs Us Virgin Islands?

St. Martin is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is St Martin's current form?

St Martin have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

St. Martin Win92%
Draw5%
US Virgin Islands Win3%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%