Match Analysis

St. MartinvsBahamas

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

94%
3%
3%
St. Martin winDrawBahamas win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.20
4.77Avg goals scored0.77
0.47Avg goals conceded4.92
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

St. Martin xG

Expected goals

0.3

Bahamas xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

14%

4–0

14%

5–0

12%

2–0

11%

1–0

5%

3–1

4%

Home

St. Martin

St. Martin

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

4.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bahamas

Bahamas

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 4.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win St. Martin vs Bahamas?

St. Martin is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is St. Martin's current form?

St. Martin have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

St. Martin Win94%
Draw3%
Bahamas Win3%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%