Match Analysis

St. LuciavsGuadeloupe

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

83%
12%
5%
St. Lucia winDrawGuadeloupe win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.80
2.25Avg goals scored0.94
0.94Avg goals conceded1.76
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

St. Lucia xG

Expected goals

0.5

Guadeloupe xG

37%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

15%

3–0

13%

1–0

11%

4–0

9%

2–1

7%

3–1

7%

Home

St. Lucia

St. Lucia

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Guadeloupe

Guadeloupe

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?

St. Lucia is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is St. Lucia's current form?

St. Lucia have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

St. Lucia Win83%
Draw12%
Guadeloupe Win5%
BTTS37%
Over 2.562%