Match Analysis

St. LuciavsBermuda

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

91%
6%
3%
St. Lucia winDrawBermuda win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.00
2.25Avg goals scored1.24
0.94Avg goals conceded3.24
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

St. Lucia xG

Expected goals

0.7

Bermuda xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

10%

4–0

10%

5–0

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–1

7%

Home

St. Lucia

St. Lucia

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Bermuda

Bermuda

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 3.2

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win St. Lucia vs Bermuda?

St. Lucia is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is St. Lucia's current form?

St. Lucia have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

St. Lucia Win91%
Draw6%
Bermuda Win3%
BTTS49%
Over 2.585%