Match Analysis

Sint MaartenvsFrench Guiana

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
18%
77%
Sint Maarten winDrawFrench Guiana win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
0.51Avg goals scored1.26
2.58Avg goals conceded0.46
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Sint Maarten xG

Expected goals

1.9

French Guiana xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

21%

0–2

20%

0–3

13%

0–0

11%

0–4

6%

1–1

6%

Home

Sint Maarten

Sint Maarten

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

French Guiana

French Guiana

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sint Maarten vs French Guiana?

French Guiana is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sint Maarten's current form?

Sint Maarten have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sint Maarten Win5%
Draw18%
French Guiana Win77%
BTTS22%
Over 2.538%