Match Analysis

NicaraguavsCosta Rica

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
7%
89%
Nicaragua winDrawCosta Rica win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.20
0.97Avg goals scored2.00
3.45Avg goals conceded1.40
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Nicaragua xG

Expected goals

4

Costa Rica xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

8%

0–4

8%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–2

6%

0–5

6%

Home

Nicaragua

Nicaragua

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.5

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?

Costa Rica is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nicaragua's current form?

Nicaragua have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nicaragua Win4%
Draw7%
Costa Rica Win89%
BTTS58%
Over 2.587%