Match Analysis

MexicovsJamaica

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
26%
45%
Mexico winDrawJamaica win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.40
0.00Avg goals scored1.48
0.00Avg goals conceded0.97
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Mexico xG

Expected goals

1.5

Jamaica xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Mexico

No data

Away

Jamaica

Jamaica

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mexico vs Jamaica?

Jamaica is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mexico Win29%
Draw26%
Jamaica Win45%
BTTS52%
Over 2.548%