Match Analysis

JamaicavsHonduras

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
26%
18%
Jamaica winDrawHonduras win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
1.48Avg goals scored1.23
0.97Avg goals conceded1.48
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Jamaica xG

Expected goals

0.7

Honduras xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

17%

1–1

12%

2–0

12%

0–0

11%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

Home

Jamaica

Jamaica

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Honduras

Honduras

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jamaica vs Honduras?

Jamaica is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jamaica's current form?

Jamaica have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Jamaica Win56%
Draw26%
Honduras Win18%
BTTS39%
Over 2.538%