Match Analysis

JamaicavsGuatemala

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
30%
49%
Jamaica winDrawGuatemala win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.48Avg goals scored2.18
0.97Avg goals conceded0.69
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Jamaica xG

Expected goals

1.3

Guatemala xG

37%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

18%

0–0

14%

1–1

12%

0–2

11%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Jamaica

Jamaica

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Guatemala

Guatemala

WDWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jamaica vs Guatemala?

Guatemala is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jamaica's current form?

Jamaica have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Jamaica Win21%
Draw30%
Guatemala Win49%
BTTS37%
Over 2.532%