Match Analysis

HondurasvsSuriname

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
32%
40%
Honduras winDrawSuriname win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.23Avg goals scored1.17
1.48Avg goals conceded0.97
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Honduras xG

Expected goals

1

Suriname xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

17%

0–1

17%

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–2

8%

1–2

7%

Home

Honduras

Honduras

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Suriname

Suriname

LDWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Honduras vs Suriname?

Suriname is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Honduras's current form?

Honduras have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Honduras Win28%
Draw32%
Suriname Win40%
BTTS35%
Over 2.527%