Match Analysis

HondurasvsJamaica

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
29%
47%
Honduras winDrawJamaica win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.23Avg goals scored1.48
1.48Avg goals conceded0.97
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Honduras xG

Expected goals

1.3

Jamaica xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

16%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–2

10%

1–0

10%

1–2

8%

Home

Honduras

Honduras

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Jamaica

Jamaica

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Honduras vs Jamaica?

Jamaica is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Honduras's current form?

Honduras have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Honduras Win24%
Draw29%
Jamaica Win47%
BTTS40%
Over 2.535%