Match Analysis

HaitivsCosta Rica

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
21%
27%
Haiti winDrawCosta Rica win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
2.20Avg goals scored2.00
1.26Avg goals conceded1.40
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Haiti xG

Expected goals

1.5

Costa Rica xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Haiti

Haiti

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Haiti vs Costa Rica?

Haiti is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Haiti's current form?

Haiti have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Haiti Win52%
Draw21%
Costa Rica Win27%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%