Match Analysis

GuatemalavsSuriname

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
27%
12%
Guatemala winDrawSuriname win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
2.18Avg goals scored1.17
0.69Avg goals conceded0.97
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Guatemala xG

Expected goals

0.5

Suriname xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

21%

0–0

15%

2–0

15%

1–1

10%

0–1

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Guatemala

Guatemala

WDWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Suriname

Suriname

LDWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Guatemala vs Suriname?

Guatemala is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Guatemala's current form?

Guatemala have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Guatemala Win61%
Draw27%
Suriname Win12%
BTTS30%
Over 2.530%