Guatemalavs
El Salvador
CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.7
Guatemala xG
Expected goals
0.4
El Salvador xG
32%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
14%
4–0
13%
2–0
11%
5–0
10%
1–0
6%
3–1
6%
Home
Guatemala
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
El Salvador
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Guatemala is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Guatemala's current form?
Guatemala have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from CONCACAF Nations League