Match Analysis

GuadeloupevsSt. Lucia

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
16%
76%
Guadeloupe winDrawSt. Lucia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.80
0.94Avg goals scored2.25
1.76Avg goals conceded0.94
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Guadeloupe xG

Expected goals

2.3

St. Lucia xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

15%

0–1

13%

0–3

11%

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

1–3

7%

Home

Guadeloupe

Guadeloupe

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

St. Lucia

St. Lucia

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?

St. Lucia is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Guadeloupe's current form?

Guadeloupe have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Guadeloupe Win8%
Draw16%
St. Lucia Win76%
BTTS41%
Over 2.555%