Match Analysis

El SalvadorvsJamaica

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

10%
18%
72%
El Salvador winDrawJamaica win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.96Avg goals scored1.48
2.46Avg goals conceded0.97
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

El Salvador xG

Expected goals

2.2

Jamaica xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

15%

0–1

13%

0–3

11%

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

El Salvador

El Salvador

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Jamaica

Jamaica

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win El Salvador vs Jamaica?

Jamaica is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is El Salvador's current form?

El Salvador have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

El Salvador Win10%
Draw18%
Jamaica Win72%
BTTS40%
Over 2.553%