Match Analysis

Costa RicavsCuraçao

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
19%
55%
Costa Rica winDrawCuraçao win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
2.00Avg goals scored2.90
1.40Avg goals conceded1.20
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Costa Rica xG

Expected goals

2.4

Curaçao xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

2–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Curaçao

Curaçao

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.9 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Costa Rica vs Curaçao?

Curaçao is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Costa Rica's current form?

Costa Rica have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Costa Rica Win26%
Draw19%
Curaçao Win55%
BTTS73%
Over 2.576%