Match Analysis

CanadavsGuatemala

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
19%
69%
Canada winDrawGuatemala win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.40
0.00Avg goals scored2.19
0.00Avg goals conceded0.69
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Canada xG

Expected goals

2.2

Guatemala xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

12%

0–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–3

9%

1–1

9%

1–3

7%

Home

Canada

No data

Away

Guatemala

Guatemala

WDWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Canada vs Guatemala?

Guatemala is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Canada Win12%
Draw19%
Guatemala Win69%
BTTS49%
Over 2.558%