Match Analysis

BermudavsSt. Lucia

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
7%
90%
Bermuda winDrawSt. Lucia win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.80
1.24Avg goals scored2.25
3.24Avg goals conceded0.94
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Bermuda xG

Expected goals

4

St. Lucia xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

9%

0–4

9%

0–2

7%

0–5

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

Home

Bermuda

Bermuda

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 3.2

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

St. Lucia

St. Lucia

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

St. Lucia is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bermuda's current form?

Bermuda have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bermuda Win3%
Draw7%
St. Lucia Win90%
BTTS54%
Over 2.586%