Match Analysis

BarbadosvsSt. Lucia

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
24%
32%
Barbados winDrawSt. Lucia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
2.52Avg goals scored2.25
1.01Avg goals conceded0.94
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Barbados xG

Expected goals

1.3

St. Lucia xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Barbados

Barbados

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

St. Lucia

St. Lucia

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Barbados vs St. Lucia?

Barbados is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Barbados's current form?

Barbados have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Barbados Win44%
Draw24%
St. Lucia Win32%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%