Bahamasvs
US Virgin Islands
CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Bahamas xG
Expected goals
4
US Virgin Islands xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
7%
0–4
7%
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
1–5
6%
0–2
5%
Home
Bahamas
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.8 / 4.9
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
US Virgin Islands
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
US Virgin Islands is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bahamas's current form?
Bahamas have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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