Match Analysis

BahamasvsSt. Martin

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
3%
94%
Bahamas winDrawSt. Martin win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game2.00
0.77Avg goals scored4.77
4.92Avg goals conceded0.47
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Bahamas xG

Expected goals

4

St. Martin xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

14%

0–4

14%

0–5

12%

0–2

11%

0–1

5%

1–3

4%

Home

Bahamas

Bahamas

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 4.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

St. Martin

St. Martin

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

4.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bahamas vs St. Martin?

St. Martin is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bahamas's current form?

Bahamas have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bahamas Win3%
Draw3%
St. Martin Win94%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%