Match Analysis

Antigua and BarbudavsAruba

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
16%
12%
Antigua and Barbuda winDrawAruba win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
2.80Avg goals scored2.04
0.79Avg goals conceded1.35
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Antigua and Barbuda xG

Expected goals

1

Aruba xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Antigua and Barbuda

Antigua and Barbuda

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Aruba

Aruba

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?

Antigua and Barbuda is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Antigua and Barbuda's current form?

Antigua and Barbuda have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Antigua and Barbuda Win72%
Draw16%
Aruba Win12%
BTTS59%
Over 2.570%